By Marc Stier, Director, PA Budget and Policy Center
PBPC commissioned Data for Progress to do a poll of likely voters on a limited number of issues that are at play in the current budget negotiations.
From May 27 to June 13, 2022, Data for Progress conducted a survey of 1,134 likely voters in Pennsylvania using SMS and web panel respondents. The sample was weighted to be representative of likely voters by age, gender, education, race, and voting history. The survey was conducted in English. The margin of error is ±3 percentage points. N=1,134 unless otherwise specified. Some values may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
I want to call your attention to three results.
First, there is overwhelming support (73%) for putting the minimum wage on a path to $15 an hour over four years and thereafter having a yearly cost of living increase (77%).
Second, there is overwhelming opposition to cutting corporate taxes. Seventy percent of voters prefer increase taxes on billionaires and corporations, only 25% want to see them cut. Over 78% of likely voters want to see the Delaware Loophole closed so that multi-national corporations can no longer hide their Pennsylvania profits from our Corporate Net Income Tax. And when asked whether some of the $12 billion accumulated state surplus should be devoted to cutting taxes on corporations and the wealthy, only 2% said yes.
Third, there is support for reducing taxes on the middle class and for additional funding for education at all levels, health care, affordable housing and clean energy jobs. Because the poll question played investments in one policy area against the others, which is only partly offset by allowing respondents to make two choices, no one policy area received a great deal of support. But the results track our previous polls (here) which have shown majority support for investments that address our current inadequate and inequitable funding of K-12 education and higher education as well as for using federal ARP funds to provide support for small business and low income communities.
By collecting a much larger than normal sample that includes a great deal of demographic data, gThis new polling technique enables us to estimate public opinion in every state House and Senate district. We will be posting these results over the next few days.
Below are the initial House and Senate district results to the following questions:
And there is no PA House or Senate district in which less than 61% of likely voters in the mid-term election support putting the PA minimum wage on a path to $15 an hour over the next four years.
The Pennsylvania Budget and Policy Center is a nonpartisan policy research project that provides independent, credible analysis on state tax, budget, and related policy matters with attention to the impact of current or proposed policies on working families and individuals.
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